SFE blog Consectatio offers some excellent food for thought on the bailouts:

Every reaction the government has to the current “crisis” keeps leaving me with the question “How could we possibly dig ourselves any deeper?” Needless to say, I have been amazed at our ingenuity in this regard. Fr. Sirico’s observations (”Isn’t it obvious that once we concede the principle of a bail-out for those ‘too big to fail,’ we invite a queue that will wrap around the globe?”) are becoming more and more realized, with one of the latest announcements that the FDIC is now proposing to “help delinquent homeowners”.

Dictionary.com defines delinquent as: “failing in or neglectful of a duty or obligation“, and these are the folks who are getting the bailouts.

This begs the question, if you fathered two twin sons who were very, very different (one was very responsible and planned ahead, the other was reckless and failed in fulfilling or was neglectful of duties or obligations), who would you drop the big bucks to send to college? Which one is going to take care of you when you retire? Which could you trust with your money? Which investment guarantees that the money will be spent for productive purposes?

It is true that people had varying degrees of awareness about the oncoming dip in the housing market, but, as Christopher Deming pointed out:

“The banks are regulated. They have to tell you everything. They can’t make you read it, and really, why should they have to? They spend the time to write it, the least you could do is go through it.”

When you sign a mortgage agreement, you know what you are getting into. This is why, Chris says “there is a reason why you don’t see mortgage agreements written on cocktail napkins.”

I’ll wrap this up with a personal example: I am starting a new Electrical Engineering job in January. I have to move across the state, and, while I knew that I would be given no relocation fee, I knew there was a signing bonus included with the job. I was later notified that the signing bonus would be given to me in the first paycheck, which will appear about a month after I start (…and four months later than I had expected).

This means, I’m on my own for a U-Haul, securing an apartment, and all of the additional charges associated with moving to a new place. This may not seem like much, but it is quite a bit for a student to handle (I haven’t been making nearly as much as the typical starting-salaried engineer in my internship). Regardless of my smaller salary, I have managed to save enough in my bank account to allow me to get a U-Haul, secure an apartment, buy an engagement ring, and have several months of groceries or whatever else I may require.

This does mean, however, that I do not have an mp3 player (not even a cheap one). As a bass guitar-playing, electrical engineer, I do not even own a Sansa. I also do not have a cool, flashy cell phone, and my car is probably 25% rust. I rode my bike 26 miles a day last summer to work and back to avoid buying gas, and I ate two packs of oatmeal for lunch every day instead of going out to eat.

I’m not trying to make myself sound spectacular, but I know my own story the best.

There are plenty of people who have saved. There are many people who did not rule out the possibility of this “crisis” and they planned accordingly. These are the good sons that are not only going unrewarded, but paying out of their pockets for those who were reckless.

An excerpt of the newest proposal (with some more specifics) can be found on CNN here:

“The proposal would have the government share up to 50% of the losses if the homeowner re-defaulted on the modified loan.”*

Yes, it appears that the age of personal bailouts is on the horizon.

How could we possibly dig ourselves any deeper?

———————–

*Recent talk of “help” for people struggling with mortages has included the idea of offering lower rates or exemptions from payment only to those who have missed at least three payments.  Talk about moral hazard.

From townhall.com:

The bailout passed!

Too bad.

When so many politicians speak with one voice in support of the biggest act of government intervention in the economy in generations, I cringe.

Everybody talked about the “freeze” in the credit markets, but why, I wonder, were the cable news programs that repeated the credit-freeze mantra pausing for commercials from companies trying to lend me money? Ditech and LendingTree still hawk mortgages at under 6 percent. Some credit freeze.

Economist Robert Higgs of the Independent Institute looked at the credit numbers kept by the Federal Reserve. He writes: “Although certain financial institutions are undeniably in deep trouble — difficulties of their own making … — credit markets in general have not ceased to operate. Moreover, lenders are extending credit in historically great amounts“.

Maybe this is why CNN business reporter Ali Velshi broke ranks when reporting on “dried up” credit and said, “When I say ‘dried up,’ I don’t mean there’s no money. But you’d better have good collateral and good credit.”

What’s wrong with that?

To those who say that without banks nobody can borrow, economist Steven Landsburg offers this response: “Banks don’t lend their own money; they lend other people’s (their depositors’ and their stockholders’). Just because the banks disappear doesn’t mean the lenders will. Borrowers will still want to borrow, and lenders will still want to lend. The only question is whether they’ll be able to find each other [A]s any user of Match.com can tell you, the technology for finding partners has improved since [the 1930s]. When a firm wants to raise capital, why can’t it just sell bonds over the web? Or issue new stock? Or approach one of the hedge funds that seem to be swimming in cash? Or borrow abroad?”

I suspect that the bailout will do more harm than good, like “aiding” an alcoholic by giving him booze. It perpetuates the moral hazard produced by government guarantees that created the problems in the first place. It acts as an enabler by giving more money to opportunistic lenders who assumed they’d be bailed out. And of course the politicians made a bad bailout bill worse by adding in tax breaks for stock-car racers, movie producers, “alternative” energy, etc. Then they insisted that all health insurance must cover mental illness, a requirement that will launch an orgy of fraud and make health insurance unaffordable for millions. The conceit of the anointed knows no bounds.

After the bailout passed, the stock market turned lower. Was it because investors then thought harder about how the politicians will misspend our $700 billion? All government can do is move money from one part of the economy to another. What makes anyone assume the government knows best where the money should be?

Steven Horwitz, an economics professor at St. Lawrence University, got it right when he wrote, “There will be short-term pain if we don’t bail out these firms, but that is the hangover price we pay for 15 years or more of binge lending. The proposed bailout cannot prevent the pain of the hangover; it can only conceal it by shifting and dispersing it among the taxpayers and an economy weakened by the borrowing, taxing and/or inflation needed to pay for that $700 billion. Better we should take our short-term pain straight up and clean out the mistakes of our binge and then get back to the business of free markets without creating an unchecked executive branch monstrosity trying to ’save’ those who profited most from the binge and harming innocent taxpayers in the process“.

Sure, without the bailout, there might have been a severe recession. Bubbles must pop. But it’s important that we let bubbles pop. Markets would then find a floor and recover.

Now the politicians are blowing some new air into the bubble, but we may have a recession anyway. And with more intervention, regulation and ambiguity about what the real market prices for those government-supported securities are, investors won’t know where the real bottom is.

So any recession will last longer. And the moral hazard the bailout perpetuates will lead to new bubbles … and then demands for another bailout.

Free enterprise sounds nice. We should try it sometime.

If anyone is interested this looks to be a great event!  Details below were sent to me by professor Veryser at the University of Detroit Mercy (a fine place to get a Masters in Econ. I might add!) along with this note on the event:

“The Symposium will emphasize the Austrian School of Economics’s position on the present crisis.  It should be mentioned that this school gives the best explanation of the today’s situation.  Austrians have been consistently warning about the probability of this crisis because of the tremendous expansion of bank credit in the recent past.  This symposium will describe the causes and possible solutions to this meltdown.”

“The American Economy in Crisis”

Saturday, November 1, 2008, 9 a.m. - noon

Macomb University Center
44575 Garfield Road,  UC-1
Clinton Township, Michigan

Featured speakers include:
Joseph A. Weglarz, senior lecturer at UDM on
“The Winners and the Losers”

Ryan Mackinder, financial associate at Thrivent Financial on
“Capital Based Macro-Economics”

David R. Breuhan, vice president and portfolio manager at Gregory J. Schwartz and Company, Inc. on
“Capital Markets: An Overview”

Harry C. Veryser, senior lecturer at UDM on
“A Program for Monetary Reform”

Paul M. Veryser, vice president of PMA on
“Manufacturing: Requirements for Recovery”

Seating is limited!! RSVP at 313-993-1589.

This event is sponsored by the University of Detroit Mercy, Department of Economics, Macomb University Center, Clinton Township, Michigan and the
UDM Center, Michigan Council on Economic Education